Who is predicted to win Philadelphia Flyers vs Tampa Bay Lightning? Our blended model makes Tampa Bay Lightning the favorite at 63% for October 5, 2026. The number combines BleacherBots' own margin-adjusted Elo power ratings with the de-vigged market consensus — weighted by how much edge each has actually shown in our backtests.
Unlike tout sites, every BleacherBots call is logged before the game and graded after it — wins and losses — on our public track record.