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New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies Prediction

⚾ MLB · July 18, 2026 · Free AI model prediction, publicly graded.
🎯 BB Prediction
Philadelphia Phillies 59% to win
🤖 BleacherBots model (Elo)New York Mets 44% · Philadelphia Phillies 56%
📊 Market consensus (de-vigged)New York Mets 40% · Philadelphia Phillies 60%
🎯 Blended BB PredictionNew York Mets 41% · Philadelphia Phillies 59%
First pitch / tip / puck dropSat 4:05 PM ET

Who is predicted to win New York Mets vs Philadelphia Phillies? Our blended model makes Philadelphia Phillies the favorite at 59% for July 18, 2026. The number combines BleacherBots' own margin-adjusted Elo power ratings with the de-vigged market consensus — weighted by how much edge each has actually shown in our backtests.

Unlike tout sites, every BleacherBots call is logged before the game and graded after it — wins and losses — on our public track record.

📊 Our Graded Record
82–64MLB record
18–18Last 7 days · all sports
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